Friday, May 23, 2014

Subsidizing bad employers

RI UI taxes paid vs benefits paid 9-30-2013 DLT
EDITOR'S NOTE: closely related to the problems Tom describes is
this our current UI rate system taxes good employers to benefit
bad employers. Click here for Ted Nesi's article. In his chart, above,
every bracket of RI employer pays more in unemployment insurance
costs than benefits paid out EXCEPT the last bracket which
includes those employers who lay off the greatest number of
workers. They pay $13 million less in UI costs than their 

workers collected, a cost that is borne by everyone else.
It is outrageous to have millionaires collecting unemployment insurance payments, according to a Golocal article in which I am quoted. Maybe Golocal is on to something?

Certainly their employer paid a premium to be insured against a layoff, but it’s also unlikely that they are actually in as dire a need for the assistance as someone who has been laid off from a lower-paid job. 

But the real problem with UI is the I. That is, unemployment is structured as an insurance program: your employer pays a premium and when unemployment happens, you can make a claim. Why is that a problem?

In structure, it’s just like property and casualty insurance. You pay a premium, and if your house burns down, you can make a claim to the insurance company. The difference is that only criminals incorporate burning down houses into their business strategy, while layoffs have become an accepted part of corporate management in the United States.

These days, my knees can only be counted on to remind me how old I am, but another way that I feel old sometimes is that I remember when layoffs were considered big news. In those days, permanent layoffs and factory closings were unusual events, not so unlike floods and lightning strikes, reasonable things to insure against. 

The problem is that when layoffs become common — when the health of the communities and workers who made a company successful ceased to be a part of managements’ concerns — the insurance structure of the unemployment program becomes less sustainable. (In fact, layoffs that are common now were actually illegal within my memory, but that’s a different, though equally maddening, part of the story.) 

Worse than unsustainable, it can become farcical when a company helping to cause the problem has the temerity to complain about it.

This came to my attention years ago, when Cranston Print Works complained to the General Assembly that it paid $500 per employee for UI in Rhode Island, but only $20 per employee in North Carolina. Quoting from a letter I wrote in 1996:
Dell [at the NC Labor Dept] speculated that the Cranston Print Works unemployment tax rate differential cited… was due not only to the difference in tax rates, but also to the fact that, over the past decade or so, as production has moved from here to there, Cranston has been laying people off here in RI and hiring them in NC. Since a company’s unemployment tax rate is largely dependent on how many people they’ve laid off, this would obviously make their rate much lower in NC than here. The whole thing becomes something of a self-fulfilling prophecy for businesses: they move to NC to lower costs, but by moving (hiring in NC, laying off in RI), they make the costs higher for their remaining divisions, and for those companies who stay. [emphasis added]
What has happened around here over the last few decades is that the companies who fled early have actually increased the costs borne by the companies who have not. This is true not only in unemployment insurance, but in a host of other ways. 

Fewer companies sharing the costs of infrastructure investment means higher electricity distribution costs for each individual company, parts distributors have fewer customers so the margins they charge have to go up, and the costs of other government expenses, like roads, water, and education, find fewer companies to share the costs, too. 

Costs go up for the companies who remain, who then complain that high costs force them to move, too. It’s not always as ironic as when the same company is doing both the moving and the complaining, but it’s the same dynamic.

What have we done to address this problem? Pretty much nothing, except where we’ve made it worse, by reallocating some of those burdens in disregard of a company’s ability to pay. Not only do we have a failure of policy to contend with, but we have a failure of policy development. You hear routine complaints about business costs in Rhode Island, but when has the analysis ever led to anything more substantive than just more tax cuts? 

The Assembly leaders who make economic development policy in our state seem to have only that single play in their playbook and they keep running it, hoping against hope for a different outcome each time. What I hear from the statehouse is that there is plenty of talk about further tax cuts this year, despite the anticipated budget shortfalls.
Rereading that old letter seems a little bit sad with 18 more years of perspective:
There are dozens of creative and exciting economic development ideas that are proven to work by virtue of the fact they exist in other states, and are working there…The only special thing about the conditions here in Rhode Island is the lack of leadership and vision and commitment–from the Assembly, from the EDC, from the Governor–that are necessary to make them work. This means money, but not necessarily extravagance. Yes, the budget is tight, but as long as we simply complain that the pie is shrinking and there’s nothing we can do about these great ideas, there will continue to be less and less money with which to do anything. This is the great death spiral we’re in, and the tragedy is that no one seems to feel it important to resist.

Tom Sgouros is a freelance engineer, policy analyst, and writer. Check out his new book, "Checking the Banks: The Nuts and Bolts of Banking for People Who Want to Fix It" from Light Publications.