Winners
and losers in Tuesday’s primary
I
hate to lose. That’s one reason why, through most of my adult life, I have
stayed away from electoral politics and focused instead on classic,
Alinsky-style community organizing and strategic campaigns. In electoral
politics, you put all your money on a single-roll of the dice and it’s win or
lose on election day. In organizing or in strategic campaigns, there’s always a Plan B.
Since
I’ve gotten more heavily engaged in electoral politics after returning home to
Rhode Island in 2002, I have rediscovered how much I dislike that
one-throw-of-the-dice aspect of electoral politics.
When
I pick a candidate, I am almost always fully dedicated to what that person
believes in. I’ve turned down work this year as in past years for candidates I
didn’t know or didn’t like. Before I commit my time, I want to believe in that candidate.
So
Tuesday’s primary results were a big disappointment since only one of the four candidates I supported won. I had picked Clay Pell for Governor, Frank Ferri for Lieutenant Governor, Seth Magaziner for
General Treasurer and Guillaume DeRamel for Secretary of State. I made each
choice based on whether I felt I could trust them and whether their values
aligned with my own. Even after Tuesday’s result, I would not change one of
my picks.
I am proud of the way Clay carried on his campaign. He would make a great Governor and Michelle would be a terrific First Lady. But not this year. |
Only
Seth won, although he did so by a two-to-one landslide over the odious Frank Caprio, and by so doing, has (I hope) ended the Caprio clan hegemony over Rhode
Island Democratic politics.
I’m
still proud of the long-shot campaign run by Clay Pell for Governor. He kept
his word to be the only candidate to stay out of the muck and to run on the
issues. He just couldn’t overcome the mountain of Super-PAC and Wall Street money
Gina Raimondo had amassed.
Frank
Ferri lost because of his terrible blunder of waiting way too long to get into
the campaign. That cost him money, momentum and endorsements.
Ralph Mollis was
the choice of my former colleagues at the Charlestown Democratic Town
Committee. Mollis lost due to a lack-luster campaign, overall voter “Mollis
fatigue” and progressives abandoning him over his awful decision to push the
state to adopt its unnecessary and costly voter ID law.
Dan
McKee also ran a terrible campaign but he had lots of money (his charter school
fervor brings in lots of investor money). He pretty much ran a stealth campaign
that succeeded in creating few negatives. His opponents never hit him as hard
as they could have on his indenture to the charter school industry.
Seth Magaziner will be a great General Treasurer, provided of course, he wins in November against quasi-Republican Ernie Almonte |
Seth
Magaziner’s campaign started as a long-shot, but that race quickly changed as he
showed his dynamic vision for the office of General Treasurer. The best FrankCaprio could muster was a plea for voters to give him a chance for redemption
after years of screwing up.
Though his father, Judge Frank Senior, and his
brother David as State Democratic Chair secured him the unjustified state party
endorsement, what value Caprio’s family brought to his campaign turned into a
negative when his brother’s sleazy bid-rigging scheme went public.
Caprio
made the stupid campaign blunder of trying to attack Seth’s resume, which in my
opinion, boomeranged by drawing more attention to Caprio’s own resume.
I hope this is the last we see of the Caprios in RI politics |
Guillaume
DeRamel’s loss to Nellie Gorbea was largely due to lack-luster campaigning that
focused more on how his name is spelled than what he brought to the table. As
Nellie Gorbea hammered Guillaume with unproven attacks on his business
practices, Guillaume was like a deer caught in the headlights.
He didn’t fire
back at Gorbea’s own history that included working for an anti-union, corrupt Governor
of Puerto Rico and failing to make sure the Rhode Island non-profits she served
complied with Secretary of State’s accountability requirements.
Nonetheless,
congratulations are due to her, and to the other Tuesday winners who beat my
preferred candidates. No matter how many negatives they have compared to
the Democrats they beat in the primary, they are head and shoulders better than
the Republican opponents they face in the November 4 General Election.
There
were a lot of other losers on Tuesday. My 1-3 record is the same as the
Charlestown Democratic Town Committee who picked Ralph Mollis for Lieutenant
Governor while I picked Ferri. Both lost.
The
state’s labor unions saw a virtual shut-out for the public employees, teachers,
and others whose allegiances were split between Clay Pell and Angel Taveras.
Nick Mattiello - Zero for three |
However,
the state construction unions, for the most part and for their own very
complicated and arcane reasons, rallied behind Gina Raimondo. They will have some
campaign markers to cash in with her should she win in November.
Surprisingly,
the biggest losers of all – batting .000 on their endorsed candidates – are
the State Democratic Party , the State Association of Democratic City and Town
Chairs and House Speaker Nick Mattiello. They went zero and three. They didn’t
make a pick for Governor, but picked Mollis, Frank Caprio and Guillaume
DeRamel.
Mattiello could take some satisfaction from openly campaigning to remove some progressive state representatives he considered to be insuffiently loyal to him, most prominently, Rep. Maria Cimini of Providence. This was a clear signal to all other Representatives that while they might not love him as their leader, they should fear him. He may be unable to do squat at the state level, but he can keep him House under his thumb.
Mattiello could take some satisfaction from openly campaigning to remove some progressive state representatives he considered to be insuffiently loyal to him, most prominently, Rep. Maria Cimini of Providence. This was a clear signal to all other Representatives that while they might not love him as their leader, they should fear him. He may be unable to do squat at the state level, but he can keep him House under his thumb.
The
only endorsed Democratic candidate who will be running in the November 4
General Election is Attorney General Peter Kilmartin. He had no opponent in the
Democratic primary.
It
seemed to me that the only real priority pushed by the state party leadership, and
certainly by its now ex-Chair David Caprio, was to nominate and push Frank
Caprio.
A
lot of good that did them.
Losing
is supposed to be good for the soul. Makes you realize that you’re not as smart
or potent as you think you are, though frankly, I have had more than enough of that experience in the past.
As
painful as Tuesday night was, it could be worse if we learn nothing from the
experience that we can take with us into the November election. The voters cast
ballots that tell us just how disillusioned and angry they are with the way
things are now.
I still believe, as I did at the beginning, that the voters
want change toward the good. But what they are also saying is that they will
make up their own minds about what that means and that the usual shapers of
public opinion cannot count on people to follow their lead.