But
as usual, predictions are all over the map
By
Will Collette
Before
the Blizzard of 2015, or “Juno” if you like that name, hit the northeast last
week, predictions were all over the place as to its intensity in various
locations.
New York Mayor DiBlasio took a big hit because he based his
extra-cautious approach to the storm on the most dire, worst-case predictions
and “only” seven or eight inches hit the city. Most mayors and governors in the
northeast took similar cautious actions again relying on worst-case scenarios.
In
hindsight as in foresight, that probably was the right thing to do since, for
some communities such as Nantucket and those along the Massachusetts coast,
worst-case is what they got.
As
I noted in my pre-Juno Progressive Charlestown articles, meteorologists have
gotten very good at predicting storm tracks, but they still don’t have the
science down yet to accurately predict storm intensities. For Charlestown, Juno
was supposed to dump two feet; when it was over, I measured 14 inches. Bad, but
not as bad as forecast.
So
we end up looking at the storm that will hit us Sunday night and into Monday
with forecasts that range from the current National
Weather Service forecast specifically for Charlestown that says 1 to 3
inches Sunday night and “heavy snow” without an exact number yet for Monday.
The
only thing we know for sure is that we are going to get another storm starting
tomorrow, leaving you with today and most of Sunday to prepare.
Click
here
to read my article on storm prep.