First
of three stories on the nuclear power industry.
Everybody loves a comeback story. If you
like the U.S. nuclear power industry, it’s a Michael Jordan-type gallant
return. If you don’t like nukes, it’s more of a Gloria Swanson gruesome
comeback in Sunset Boulevard.
Similar to both Jordan and Swanson’s
character, Norma Desmond, the industry has tried more than one revival. The
current one may be more about salvaging economically dicey nuclear reactors
than building new ones.
Promise and
peril
There
is some promise for nuclear: projects in Georgia, South Carolina and Tennessee
may yield the first new nuclear plants in decades. The industry and its
advocates are touting new, safer reactor designs.
But
on the flipside, Wisconsin, California, Florida and Vermont are shuttering
aging nuclear plants, and some planned new ones have been shelved in Maryland,
New York, Texas and Florida. Closing and decommissioning isn’t cheap – usually
a billion dollars or more. As many as seven reactors in Illinois, Ohio, and New
York could close this year if not rescued by ratepayers.
Those new nukes, particularly the ones in Georgia, are falling behind schedule and soaring over budget, making an already-jittery Wall Street even more skeptical. The demise of Yucca Mountain means there’s nowhere for the industry to permanently store its waste. And just when you thought it was safe to atomically boil the water, Fukushima provided the first nuclear mega- disaster since Chernobyl a quarter-century earlier, fairly or unfairly reviving public unease about nuclear energy’s safety in the U.S.
And it didn’t help when the longtime CEO
of America’s biggest nuclear player stuck the financial fork in shortly after
his retirement.
John Rowe, a longtime nuclear booster
and former CEO of Exelon, the Chicago-based offspring of mergers between
Commonwealth Edison of Illinois, Philadelphia’s PG&E, and Baltimore-based
Constellation, oversaw 23 reactors. “I’m the nuclear guy,” Rowe told a
gathering at the University of Chicago two weeks after his 2012 retirement.
“And you won’t get better results with nuclear. It just isn’t economic, and
it’s not economic within a foreseeable time frame.”
Rowe was commenting on
plans for newly built reactors. But old ones, including up to six of Exelon's
fleet, may be on the block.
States to the
rescue
In
the 1990’s, the Federal Government and many states moved to deregulate
electricity. Leaving every potential power source free to marketplace dynamics,
it was reasoned, would serve ratepayers well and promote competition among
generators. The biggest boosters of deregulation were heavy industries looking
to reduce their enormous power bills, and an up-and-coming energy trader called
Enron, which thrived for a few years before collapsing in scandal.
The
industry’s embrace of deregulation isn’t universal, though. In at least four
states, nuclear utilities have sought state government assistance to benefit
nuclear plants, if not keep them alive and running.
Officials at Chicago-based Exelon say
the free market may soon kill off several of its nukes. Exelon’s CEO has been
outspoken about its opposition to subsidies for its wind industry, but the
company is not shy about seeking short-term help for their own financially
troubled nuclear plants.
Illinois may be nuclear’s short-term
ground zero. Exelon operates nukes at six sites in the state and acknowledged
that three – the two-reactor complexes at Quad Cities and Byron, and the
Clinton single reactor site – may have priced themselves out of the market.
Closure of the three could mean 7,800 job losses at the plants and related
industries, according to Exelon’s spokesman Paul Adams. A report earlier this
month by several Illinois state agencies cited a smaller job-loss figure,
2,500, but added that the state could add 9,600 jobs in the next four years
through energy efficiency and a renewable energy standard.
While
Exelon CEO Chris Crane insists that the company is not seeking a bailout, and
Exelon spokesman Adams said that all “energy technologies should compete on
their own merits,” Crain’s Chicago Business and other publications have
reported that the company is pushing state regulators to restructure power
markets in a way that critics say could stack the deck for their beleaguered
nukes.
Exelon senior vice president Kathleen Barron told the Illinois Commerce
Commission last September that the company needs rate increases that would
bring in $580 million in
additional revenue to keep its nukes afloat. That extra
cash would come from ratepayers, particularly at times of peak power usage.
While Exelon bristles at mention of the
word “bailout,” others see it as exactly that. “We don’t think Illinois
consumers should be called upon to bail out Illinois nuclear plants,” said
Howard Learner, executive director of the nonprofit Environmental Law &
Policy Center.
Exelon also is pushing the state for a
carbon tax, which would hit its fossil fuel rivals in the energy market but
leave nuclear plants unscathed. Years ago, the company swore off coal for
electricity, selling its coal assets. Its Illinois nukes comprise 95 percent of
the power Exelon sells in Illinois and neighboring states. Exelon also is
banking on its nukes in Illinois and elsewhere to help states meet the EPA’s proposed
carbon reduction mandates.
Another Exelon nuke, the Ginna plant
near Rochester, New York, is on the brink.
Facing a deadline on power purchases from the 45 year-old plant’s biggest
buyer, Rochester Gas & Electric, Ginna will close without a rate hike,
according to Exelon. The plant’s license doesn’t expire till 2029.
Ohio
is considering rate hikes to save several aging coal plants and the Davis-Besse
reactor near Toledo. FirstEnergy, operator of the trouble-plagued Davis-Besse,
calls for an estimated $117 million “power purchase agreement” for its
ratepayers. Longtime energy activist Harvey Wasserman called the potential rate
hikes a “pillaging” of Ohio.
The utilities have spiced up the battle
by resisting efforts to disclose financial data that could shed light on the
plants’ financial health, and the need for a rate hike. And while the stateponders lending a hand
to coal and nuclear, the Ohio Legislature effectively smothered wind
and solar in the state by killing renewable energy standards last June.
Florida also has pitched in to help the
industry: In mid-January, Florida’s Department of Environmental Protection drew
fire from conservationists when they loosened oversight over hot water
discharges from the Turkey Point energy complex south of Miami.
Turkey Point’s
two reactors and three fossil-fuel plants dump heated water into a
four-decade-old network of cooling canals, where algae blooms and rising
salinity are believed to threaten to coastal waters, public drinking water
wells and Everglades recovery. In writing a new permit for the plant, the DEP
cut local water officials out of the regulatory process, leaving the state
agency in sole command of the canal field, a radiator-like matrix of 165 miles
of waterways extending south from Turkey Point.
Unlike the reactors in Ohio, Illinois
and New York, there’s no talk of imminent financial demise at Turkey Point. In
fact, Florida Power and Light has state approval to build two more, larger
reactors at the site, and is awaiting a green light from the NRC, expected in
2016.
But with the potential expansion,
Tropical Audubon Society Executive Director Laura Reynolds sees the state DEP
enabling a catastrophe for South Florida’s ecosystems.
“The amount of water they use is
insane,” she said, adding a little gallows humor: “DEP’s new name should be
“Don’t Expect Protection.”
Part
2 next week: Seeing nuclear power as a low-carbon solution to climate change,
many high-profile people with science and environmental credentials have bucked
the tide to support nukes. We’ll give you a Field Guide to Nuclear
Environmentalists.
This
series is funded by a grant from the Rockefeller Family Foundation.
For questions or feedback about this
piece, contact Peter Dykstra at pdykstra@ehn.org or Brian Bienkowski at bbienkowski@ehn.org.