Sea
level rise urgently requires new forms of decision making
Lund University
US cities facing sea
level rise need to look beyond traditional strategies for managing issues such
as critical erosion and coastal squeeze, according to new research from Lund
University. Civil society initiatives must now play a crucial role in adapting society to climate change, the study argues.
Using the City of
Flagler Beach in Florida as a case study, researcher Chad Boda illustrates that
the traditional options put forward to address erosion and sea level rise
affecting the city's beach and coastal infrastructure either take a
market-driven approach which fails to take into account many environmental and
social considerations, or are currently too politically contentious to implement.
The three options that
have been considered in Flagler Beach are: constructing a sea wall, beach
re-nourishment, or relocation of coastal infrastructure.
The sea wall option,
long promoted by the Florida Department of Transportation, would protect
vulnerable coastal infrastructure but would damage the local beach environment,
which is central to the city's tourism economy.
The sea wall would
also affect the nesting habitat of federally protected endangered sea turtles,
the study shows.
The beach
re-nourishment option, meanwhile, proposed by the federal agency United States
Army Corps of Engineers, has the potential to provide incidental environmental
benefits, but is primarily concerned with maximizing return on investment.
This option was later
abandoned after Hurricane Matthew, that struck in October 2016, wrought such
extensive damage to the coastal environment that it was deemed no longer
economically justified to proceed with the project.
"Both of these
options are ultimately based on a cost-benefit analysis, where return on
investment takes precedence over environmental concerns such as maintaining the
beach and the dunes. The aborted re-nourishment project makes this very clear.
The hurricane has basically made it too costly to go ahead, even though
re-nourishment would provide for more social and economic benefits than a
seawall," says Chad Boda.
The study instead
proposes, that from a scientific, environmental and societal perspective, it is
the option of relocating coastal infrastructure that would likely provide the
most benefit to the city in the long-run, as it would protect both the beach
and vulnerable infrastructure.
Relocation has been
promoted as the only viable long-term sustainable approach to beach management
by coastal scientists; since it would provide for the beach to naturally adapt
to sea level rise.
Implementing this
solution, however, is not likely to be an easy task.
"That option is currently
too politically controversial as the local community was concerned that local
businesses could lose customers, that it would cause more traffic jams in the
city, and that it would ultimately reduce property value," says Chad Boda.
The study highlights
that this course of events has left Flagler Beach with effectively only one
option on the table: some form of sea wall, since re-nourishment was deemed too
expensive to implement, and the city's residents and politicians are currently
unwilling to relocate coastal infrastructure.
"Yet this option,
since it incorporates no procedure for adapting to sea level rise, will only
lead to ever-increasing cost of erosion control, and the eventual loss of all
sandy beaches along developed shorelines," explains Chad Boda.
According to Boda,
this indicates that Flagler Beach, along with many other American cities unable
to afford ever more expensive re-nourishment projects, has effectively reached
the limit of what actions it is able to take in terms of addressing erosion and
sea level rise.
The city is now
effectively back where it started, holding the line against erosion with
expensive and environmentally problematic temporary projects, with no clear
plan for how to address future erosion caused by storms or to make the tough
decisions needed to adapt to climate change.
The continued
degradation of the local environment will likely pose a major problem for the
city's tourism economy and tax base in the coming years, particularly as sea
level rise continues.
The study argues that
a new decision-making model -- a social choice model -- could be one way
forward. By taking primarily economic criteria into account, a wide variety of
other concerns citizens have, including those of far-away tax payers and future
generations, are left out.
Therefore additional
criteria, whether environmental, cultural, or recreational, should be
identified through reasonable public discussion.
This would require not
only more effective collaboration between federal, state and local governments,
but also the ceding of more decision-making power to citizens and civil society
organizations.
"By using a
social choice model, the city would have a richer source of options and ideas
to work with. Something that puts all available options on the table and
requires that they be evaluated with a more comprehensive and long-term
perspective."
Because social choice
involves changing the way decisions of public concern are currently made, it is
not likely to be justified by current government or economic calculations,
according to Boda. This means civil society initiatives would need to provide
the primary mechanism for achieving the needed change in practice.
"There are many
cases in US history where civil society has played a crucial role in bringing
about change. These institutions could be the drivers for new ways of
collective decision making since we can no longer rely only on the market or
formal government to offer solutions that will protect both our environment and
our society in the face of rising seas and a changing climate," Chad Boda
concludes.