The
overly social network comes to terms with unhappy users.
Cambridge Analytica’s
systematic harvesting of Facebook user preferences to create detailed models of
voter emotions appears to have played a significant role in the election of
Donald Trump and the victory of the “Brexiters” on the referendum on whether the
United Kingdom should leave the European Union or not.
There is shock and anxiety at the revelations about how a few right-wing ideologues were able to exploit Facebook’s database and then use it to justify populist campaigns fronted by publicity hounds of dubious moral and financial principles (Donald Trump, Steve Bannon and Nigel Farage immediately spring to mind).
There is shock and anxiety at the revelations about how a few right-wing ideologues were able to exploit Facebook’s database and then use it to justify populist campaigns fronted by publicity hounds of dubious moral and financial principles (Donald Trump, Steve Bannon and Nigel Farage immediately spring to mind).
Whether the Facebook
fiasco conclusively proves either Russian involvement in the 2016 election (or
the UK’s Brexit referendum), or simply highlights the violation of campaign
finance laws, is yet to be determined.
But what is certainly beyond dispute from the apparently unauthorized use of Facebook’s database of some 50 million users is that longstanding Madison Avenue advertising techniques worked equally well when applied to majority voting instead of employee practices or consumer spending.
One possible outcome is that centralized repositories like Facebook—or Google, or Amazon—could become a ripe target for regulation and/or anti-trust action. Another possibility is that the voluntary participation on which Facebook is built will collapse spontaneously via consumer rejection.
But what is certainly beyond dispute from the apparently unauthorized use of Facebook’s database of some 50 million users is that longstanding Madison Avenue advertising techniques worked equally well when applied to majority voting instead of employee practices or consumer spending.
One possible outcome is that centralized repositories like Facebook—or Google, or Amazon—could become a ripe target for regulation and/or anti-trust action. Another possibility is that the voluntary participation on which Facebook is built will collapse spontaneously via consumer rejection.
That course of action
is currently being
advocated by WhatsApp co-founder Brian Acton, who is spearheading a
#DeleteFacebook campaign.
In one sense, there is
nothing new in what Facebook and Cambridge Analytica have done. Way back in
1957, author Vance Packard’s The Hidden
Persuadersdescribed how:
“Large-scale efforts are
being made, often with impressive success, to channel our unthinking habits,
our purchasing decisions, and our thought processes by the use of insights
gleaned from psychiatry and the social sciences. Typically these efforts take
place beneath our level of awareness, so that the appeals which move us are
often, in a sense, ‘hidden.’”
But in a world in which
we have all become reliant on the internet for our information, our searches
and declared preferences are constantly recorded. Therefore an uncanny amount
about us can be learned in a manner that is far more centralized and prone to
manipulation than traditional forms of advertising.
A wave of shrinkage in traditional advertising firms has correspondingly occurred as the robotic, targeted advertising has become the new norm, largely because it is both cheaper and more effective.
A wave of shrinkage in traditional advertising firms has correspondingly occurred as the robotic, targeted advertising has become the new norm, largely because it is both cheaper and more effective.
Facebook in particular
is a social media way of harnessing interpersonal linkages through the net. Its
model must be using those links and the information they generate to create
value for advertisers.
Any user of Facebook (or Amazon) can easily see how fast browsers insert ads related to one’s most recent searches. So it becomes manifestly clear that these companies are tracking us for common advertising purposes.
Any user of Facebook (or Amazon) can easily see how fast browsers insert ads related to one’s most recent searches. So it becomes manifestly clear that these companies are tracking us for common advertising purposes.
Politics has always
looked into the underlying motivations of voters to manage them. But using the
data as documented by the Guardian,
this went to a new level of political detail in 2016 that fueled the faster
cycle of hard-hitting Trump campaigning.
Facebook, Google, Amazon, Twitter, etc., have all become huge aggregators of this information. Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s recent apologies notwithstanding, the companies are either being naïve in proclaiming shock that their data can be misused or, more likely, have been so obsessed with building market share and watching their company market caps explode into the hundreds of billions of dollars that they willfully ignored the scope for abuse.
Either way, the information seems to have reached a threshold of importance where governments will step in and disrupt the existing mode, especially now that the full power of this database has been recognized and exploited by a successful political candidate, whether via regulation or antitrust measures.
Otherwise, the demands will rise for Facebook to give the data to all, because it cannot guarantee that it has been erased everywhere, which has disturbing implications for our privacy (as well as threatening to destroy Facebook’s business model, the success of which is predicated on the exclusive use of the data aggregated from the user base).
Facebook, Google, Amazon, Twitter, etc., have all become huge aggregators of this information. Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s recent apologies notwithstanding, the companies are either being naïve in proclaiming shock that their data can be misused or, more likely, have been so obsessed with building market share and watching their company market caps explode into the hundreds of billions of dollars that they willfully ignored the scope for abuse.
Either way, the information seems to have reached a threshold of importance where governments will step in and disrupt the existing mode, especially now that the full power of this database has been recognized and exploited by a successful political candidate, whether via regulation or antitrust measures.
Otherwise, the demands will rise for Facebook to give the data to all, because it cannot guarantee that it has been erased everywhere, which has disturbing implications for our privacy (as well as threatening to destroy Facebook’s business model, the success of which is predicated on the exclusive use of the data aggregated from the user base).
However much someone
like Brian Acton, who was made a billionaire courtesy of Facebook’s purchase of
his company, might like others to embrace his #DeleteFacebook campaign, that
appears problematic, given how successfully the use of Facebook’s model
operated in the political context.
But there is growing international political momentum to strip the "social network" and its targeted advertising model of much of its abilities to record and use customer data. Former President Barack Obama hinted at this at a recent speech at MIT:
But there is growing international political momentum to strip the "social network" and its targeted advertising model of much of its abilities to record and use customer data. Former President Barack Obama hinted at this at a recent speech at MIT:
“I do think the large
platforms—Google and Facebook being the most obvious, Twitter and others as
well, are part of that ecosystem—have to have a conversation about their
business model that recognizes they are a public good as well as a commercial
enterprise. They’re not just an invisible platform, they’re shaping our culture
in powerful ways.”
Obama did not explicitly
state what he had in mind for these companies, but he did suggest that
at a minimum, “the government should have ‘rules of the road’ to create a level
playing field.” Even if users find they can’t do without their daily Facebook
fix, Google search, or Amazon shopping spree, the former president is right. A
price will be paid as these companies’ activities are increasingly scrutinized.
There are defenses that
have been mounted in favor of an unregulated market for Big Data, notably by
People Analytics, an organization run by Alex Pentland and his colleagues at
MIT’s Media Lab. Pentland feels the very centralized nature of the
aggregated data is what makes these companies such excellent research targets:
“With the advent of big
data and machine learning, researchers actually have enough data and sufficient
mathematical tools to build predictive mathematical models. ... If you talk to
other people and see what they are doing, you can improve your own performance,
and as you talk to more and more people, you continue to do better and better.”
What is not to like? Better
decision-making, higher productivity, more efficient communication networks: It
looks like a win-win all around. Of course, it was under the guise of research
that Cambridge Analytica allegedly got the Facebook data in the first place. It
can be used as cover for less benign purposes.
Going further, Pentland
cleverly invokes a
“New Deal on Data” that allows for the “rebalancing of the ownership of
data in favor of the individual whose data is collected. People would have the
same rights they now have over their physical bodies and their money.”
In theory, this allows
the individual discretion as to how much he/she will share with corporations
and government regulators. Pentland goes on to suggest that, “the economy
will be healthier if the relationship between companies and consumers is more
respectful, more balanced. I think that’s much more sustainable and will
prevent disasters.”
Pentland’s optimism
sounds somewhat naïve in the wake of Edward Snowden’s revelations, as well as
the current Facebook controversy. Of course, anything that further legitimizes
this intrusion on our privacy will be welcomed by these entities.
How much do we, the owners of our own personal data, actually control it? As far as the government goes, not much, Snowden’s revelations (or those of WikiLeaks) illustrated. And surely the current Facebook and Cambridge Analytica imbroglio undercuts this benign picture that Pentland describes of a happy, informed consumer who autonomously shares his data with various companies, with a view toward building a more "balanced" relationship.
How much do we, the owners of our own personal data, actually control it? As far as the government goes, not much, Snowden’s revelations (or those of WikiLeaks) illustrated. And surely the current Facebook and Cambridge Analytica imbroglio undercuts this benign picture that Pentland describes of a happy, informed consumer who autonomously shares his data with various companies, with a view toward building a more "balanced" relationship.
On the contrary, the
Facebook fiasco highlights that there exists a thoroughly unequal partnership
between the aggregators of information and the information owners, making abuse
almost inevitable.
Indeed, it is highly doubtful that most consumers and users are even aware of the extent to which their habits, thoughts, and overall private space are monitored by these companies (to say nothing of the more obvious government and law enforcement agencies, even if we’re not terrorists).
Indeed, it is highly doubtful that most consumers and users are even aware of the extent to which their habits, thoughts, and overall private space are monitored by these companies (to say nothing of the more obvious government and law enforcement agencies, even if we’re not terrorists).
In general, the notion
of a level playing field of information or data that the market can freely and
efficiently price has been debunked successfully by Nobel Laureates George
Akerlof and Joseph Stiglitz. Both have challenged the "efficient market
hypothesis," which holds that market prices or odds reflect all
known information, mitigating the need for intrusive government
intervention/regulation.
If information asymmetry exists, the obvious implication is that there is a need for some form of overriding regulation to rectify this imbalance. This would also seem to apply to Pentland’s New Deal on Data.
If information asymmetry exists, the obvious implication is that there is a need for some form of overriding regulation to rectify this imbalance. This would also seem to apply to Pentland’s New Deal on Data.
Edward Snowden has made
us question whether the data and corresponding privacy can be adequately
safeguarded from more scrutiny by governments. The more relevant question from
the point of view of, say, Silicon Valley and its high tech moguls is whether
governments will move more aggressively to control the aggregators themselves,
and whether the revelations of their abuses will provoke a backlash, which will
impact their companies’ growth and profitability.
Already, as Reuters
reported, “Nordea, the
Nordic region’s biggest bank, will not let its sustainable funds buy more
Facebook shares for the time being.”
The European Union has fined Facebook €110m “for ‘incorrect or misleading’ information regarding data sharing between Facebook and WhatsApp” (even though Facebook acquired the latter). And the EU has also proposed that “companies with significant digital revenues in Europe will pay a 3 percent tax on their turnover on various online services in the European Union,” legislation that will cover Facebook (as well as Amazon and Google).
Although the tax doesn’t actually address the issue of the database abuse itself, the Cambridge Analytica scandal has dissipated valuable political capital for these companies, which will make it harder for them to stop these attacks on their business model and underlying profitability.
The European Union has fined Facebook €110m “for ‘incorrect or misleading’ information regarding data sharing between Facebook and WhatsApp” (even though Facebook acquired the latter). And the EU has also proposed that “companies with significant digital revenues in Europe will pay a 3 percent tax on their turnover on various online services in the European Union,” legislation that will cover Facebook (as well as Amazon and Google).
Although the tax doesn’t actually address the issue of the database abuse itself, the Cambridge Analytica scandal has dissipated valuable political capital for these companies, which will make it harder for them to stop these attacks on their business model and underlying profitability.
Indeed, the focus on
taxing turnover, as opposed to profits, is telling, because sales records are
far more difficult to doctor and conceal via accounting subterfuge than
profits. In effect, this is tantamount to the EU stating to these tech giants,
“Don’t even think about making a transfer payment to Ireland and leaving
yourself with an operating loss in our jurisdiction so you can pay no tax.”
As the Brexit referendum
illustrates, the Facebook and Cambridge Analytica scandal itself goes well
beyond the U.S. Consequently, we can expect an attack on all fronts—the U.S.,
the EU, and likely Asia as well.
At this point it is too early to judge if this will have any impact on the ongoing Mueller investigation, but the economic implications already seem evident. The U.S. equity boom has been partly in reaction to deregulation in banking and elsewhere.
The tech industry has largely escaped any kind of regulatory or antitrust scrutiny and has benefited accordingly. As Edward Harrison of the site Credit Writedowns has observed:
At this point it is too early to judge if this will have any impact on the ongoing Mueller investigation, but the economic implications already seem evident. The U.S. equity boom has been partly in reaction to deregulation in banking and elsewhere.
The tech industry has largely escaped any kind of regulatory or antitrust scrutiny and has benefited accordingly. As Edward Harrison of the site Credit Writedowns has observed:
“Some of the best
performing stocks in the US are the large Internet-centric technology stocks
like Facebook. There is even an acronym, FANG, to describe Facebook, Amazon,
Netflix and Google. Add Apple and, together, these five stocks account for one
quarter of the Nasdaq’s total market capitalization. They are huge. And
Facebook’s data breach represents a threat to them.”
Could it be that public
indignation at the Facebook profile harvesting scandal will lead to new
regulation that could impede the value of some tech-based advertising models?
Will it lead to a consumer backlash that slows the growth of the companies
themselves?
Certainly, it is easier to attack a wealthy and powerful company, if and when it becomes Public Enemy #1, even though many of these politicos will find themselves attacking the instruments of their own political success (or fundraising sources).
Facebook or Google would no doubt argue that their platforms are just a facilitation of the communities inherent in the internet and that they have benefited by exploiting first mover advantage.
But a centralized, monopolistic exploitation of these interpersonal links is inviting public intervention, especially as the technology can also survive on a distributed, competitive basis. In the eyes of many, these companies are unlikely to escape the opprobrium of helping to allow the Trump disaster to descend upon us.
Overseas, they could well be scapegoated if the British economy falters as a result of leaving the European Union. On a broader scale, this scandal may well destroy any last vestiges of “techno-optimism,” seeing how it has highlighted the misuses of technology and the human damage it can continue to inflict on us far more profoundly than ever before.
Certainly, it is easier to attack a wealthy and powerful company, if and when it becomes Public Enemy #1, even though many of these politicos will find themselves attacking the instruments of their own political success (or fundraising sources).
Facebook or Google would no doubt argue that their platforms are just a facilitation of the communities inherent in the internet and that they have benefited by exploiting first mover advantage.
But a centralized, monopolistic exploitation of these interpersonal links is inviting public intervention, especially as the technology can also survive on a distributed, competitive basis. In the eyes of many, these companies are unlikely to escape the opprobrium of helping to allow the Trump disaster to descend upon us.
Overseas, they could well be scapegoated if the British economy falters as a result of leaving the European Union. On a broader scale, this scandal may well destroy any last vestiges of “techno-optimism,” seeing how it has highlighted the misuses of technology and the human damage it can continue to inflict on us far more profoundly than ever before.
Marshall Auerback is a
market analyst and commentator.