Can we shop our way out of environmental catastrophe?
By Elaine Siu
Next-gen
materials replicate the performance of their animal-based counterparts by using
biomimicry approaches while being more sustainable.
The Six Main Input Categories of Next-Gen Materials
The rise of
innovation companies has led to several types of next-gen material being
available in the market. These high-performance materials tend to vary from one
another. For instance, mushroom leather produced by one company will differ
from others; each innovator follows their own specialized approach.
To simplify the
diverse landscape of formulation and processing approaches for next-gen
materials, MII categorizes next-gen innovation into six “main input”
categories:
- Plant-derived: Next-gen materials derived from
plant matter, including fungi (fruiting body) and algae inputs.
- Mycelium: Materials utilizing the root-like
structure of fungal species called mycelium. It is distinguished from the
plant-derived category by its rich activity in next-gen innovation.
- Cultivated animal cells: Materials grown from animal
cell constructs in laboratory tissue engineering approaches.
- Microbe-derived: Materials produced through
cellular engineering approaches like cell culture or fermentation
processes to create proteins and biopolymers.
- Recycled material: Materials utilizing recycled
plastic or textile feedstock as the primary input.
- Blend: Materials made by combining components
not well captured by any of the above categories.
State of the Industry
The fourth State of the
Industry report by
the Material Innovation Initiative (MII), where I serve as an adviser,
highlights the importance of next-gen materials in transitioning away from
unsustainable practices in material production.
The report
provides insights into the progress made by the next-gen industry in 2023. It
further details the key stakeholders and the challenges posed by the industry
while spotlighting the “rising stars.”
Companies in the Next-Gen Materials Industry
As of August
2024, there are 62 “innovators,” or companies developing next-gen materials.
This is in addition to the 144 companies operating at the start of
2024. The majority (92 companies) worked on biomimicry of animal leather and
exotic skins. Twenty-four worked on biomimicry of silk, 16 on wool, 14 on down,
and eight on fur.
Some companies
work on more than one material. The U.S. had the most innovators at 44; other
countries had between one and 13, according to the MII report. The vast majority
of innovators’ main focus is next-gen materials. Also, some larger corporations
have a next-gen material product as part of their diverse offerings. For
example, Volvo has developed its next-gen leather, Nordico (with a blend input). The company aims to use
this material in 25 percent of its new cars by 2025, comprising “recycled and
bio-based content.”
More than half of
all innovators used a plant-derived source as their primary input for their
material, according to the MII report. The remaining half was divided between
microbe-derived, mycelium, recycled materials, and blends, with cultivated
animal cells forming the smallest input category at around 4 percent.
The feedstock,
inputs, and technologies used to create a material affect not only the look,
feel, and properties of the finished product but also—crucially in this
industry of innovation—the time and cost it will take to reach commercial
manufacturing scale.
Many innovators
chose to stay in stealth mode until they were ready to launch. No new companies
were created in 2023, but 29 that existed previously in stealth mode publicly disclosed their activities.
Due to their high
market value, silk, fur, and exotic skins may appeal to early-stage innovators.
Unlike commodity markets, these high-value product targets could lead to faster
price parity. For instance, while polyester yarn costs around $1/kg, raw silk averages around $55/kg. These underserved product categories
lack competition, making them attractive to innovators and investors seeking
entry into the next-gen materials industry.
Investment in Next-Gen Materials
Investors play an
essential role in the next-generation materials industry by funding research,
development, and growth.
In 2021, there
was an unprecedented spike in capital invested in next-gen materials companies,
followed by a sharp decrease in 2022. An upward momentum returned in 2023, with
just more than $500 million raised in 36 publicly disclosed
deals.
Despite a global decline in venture capital funding and deal
count in 2023, funding for next-gen materials companies increased. The industry
experienced a 10 percent rise in investment funding, indicating higher
investments than the general market. This is a positive sign for such a nascent
industry.
The total
investment figure of more than $500 million excludes significant investments
made internally by companies in developing next-gen materials. Such internal
investments are important as they reflect the expertise and resources of the
companies. Gucciʼs
capital investment in their Demetra next-gen leather exemplifies this
trend, leveraging the companyʼs
reputation, expertise in high-quality leather, and available resources to drive
innovation in the next-gen materials industry.
Industry Brands’ Involvement in the Next-Gen Materials Market
Industry brands
are established companies in fashion, automotive, and home goods that are the
biggest buyers and users of materials. Although consumer preference has driven
brands in these industries toward more sustainable practices over the years,
material innovators seldom have a direct relationship with consumers. The
success of transitioning from animal-based materials to next-gen materials
largely depends on the ability of innovators and industry brands to work
together.
Industry brands
can play vital roles in the next-gen material innovation ecosystem, including
funding internal and external initiatives, switching to next-gen materials as
their raw materials, and collaborating with startups to create new products.
These actions help accelerate commercialization and scale-up production of
next-gen materials to replace conventional products.
Top-tier industry
brands like Nike, IKEA, and Volvo are driving demand for next-gen materials due
to pressure from consumers and regulations to improve sustainability and reduce
the environmental impact of their products. Regulations such as the EUʼs corporate
sustainability due diligence directive, Franceʼs AGEC law, and the New York Fashion Act replace voluntary supervisory systems with
mandatory targets and consequences for non-compliance. This regulatory
landscape and consumer sentiment are driving the shift toward next-gen
materials in various industries.
Next-Gen Materials and the ‘Hype Cycle’ of Innovation
The Gartner Hype Cycle is a graphical representation of the
stages in the life cycle of a technology. It depicts the typical progression of
innovation from “overenthusiasm” toward a period of “disillusionment” and then
to “eventual productivity.”
High expectations
and low maturity lead to the “Trough of Disillusionment,” where interest wanes as experiments and
implementations fail to deliver. However, investments may continue if the
product is improved to satisfy early adopters.
The Hype Cycle
consists of five key phases that describe the life cycle of new technologies
and the challenges and opportunities they may encounter along the way:
- Innovation Trigger: Potential technological
breakthroughs that spark initial interest but often have no usable
products and unproven commercial viability.
- Peak of Inflated Expectations: This is characterized by early
success stories, which generate hype, but failures also occur.
- Trough of Disillusionment: This period is characterized by
declining interest as experiments fail, leading to shakeouts or failures
among technology producers.
- Slope of Enlightenment: This occurs when there is an
understanding of the technology’s increasing benefits, with second- and
third-generation products emerging.
- Plateau of Productivity: This is a function of
mainstream adoption, which begins with clearly defined criteria for
assessing provider viability and broader market applicability.
The innovation trigger for next-gen materials began in 2018 when many startups
received their first round of venture capital funding. The peak of inflated
expectations began around 2020, with next-gen materials becoming a trend in
business, industry, and fashion publications. Companies capitalized on this by
using buzzwords like “next-gen materials” and “apple/cactus/mushroom
leather.” Investment
spiked in 2021, reaching $980 million, a significant increase from previous
years.
After 2022, the
industry has undoubtedly been in the trough of disillusionment signaled by a
sharp decline in investment, exacerbated by the pandemic’s unprecedented
disruption of various facets of business, from supply chains to funding
availability. Early success stories were repeated, and the market soon became
impatient with the lack of scaled production and availability of innovative
materials. There was negative press as a result, and the innovation was
discredited for not living up to the early, overinflated expectations of being
the “perfectly
sustainable” solution to
the grand challenges faced by the fashion industry.
However, despite
these challenges, innovation has continued, with companies working to improve
products based on feedback, addressing scaling challenges, and exploring new
markets.
The length of the
trough of disillusionment is one of the most variable parts of the hype cycle.
And yet, the industry’s progress to the next phase may be closer than expected.
At the end of 2023, there was an upward trend in investments in the next-gen materials
industry. This reflects progress with the hope that next-gen materials continue
to be more widely adopted by leading brands to ensure a more sustainable
future.
This article was produced by Earth
• Food • Life, a project of the Independent Media Institute. Claudia
Erixon, communications and development assistant at Material Innovation
Initiative, provided research.
“How Sustainable Next-Gen Materials Can Create a More Ethical
Consumer Market” by Elaine Siu is licensed by the Observatory under
a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0
International License (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0). For permissions requests beyond
the scope of this license, please see Observatory.wiki’s Reuse and Reprint Rights guidance. Last
edited: August 24, 2024