Trump may not believe in climate change, but the insurance industry does
By Andrew Hoffman, Rupert Read, originally published by Resilience.org
This map shows all census tracts within the U.S. categorized into one of five classifications related to climate risk.
What does a post-1.5°C world mean for the insurance sector, their
customers, investors, and the economy as a whole? This question has suddenly
hit the news, as insurers begin to withdraw from some prominent places, and
insurance insiders begin to break cover, as reported by the New York Times,
just last week: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/10/climate/climate-change-economic-effects.html.
New research by the Climate Majority Project, working with a set of insurance
insiders working safely within the veil of anonymity, looks at this question
and set out three possible scenarios. The one towards which we are currently
headed is dire, unless new policies and strategies are instituted that rethink
and rework the risk landscape.
Insurance is the canary in the climate coal mine
The insurance sector is dealing with the realities of a climate-changed world with higher payouts from more extreme weather events and more assets in harm’s way by raising premiums and reducing coverage to manage losses. As this continues, with an increasing number of regions becoming ‘ uninsurable‘, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has warned that insurance companies pull out “of coastal areas [and] areas where there are a lot of fires” the loss of available insurance means that “there are going to be regions of the country where you can’t get a mortgage” in “10 or 15 years.”
This would be devastating to individual homeowners and to the economy at large as property values drop and
governments take in less tax revenue for schools, police and other basic
services. Günther Thallinger, Chairman of the Investment Board of
multi-national insurance company Allianz SE warns that this represents “a
systemic risk that threatens the very foundation of the financial sector.”
In its 12th national report, “Property Prices in Peril,” First Street — the analytics firm behind the climate risk rating attached to leading real estate listings – estimates the impacts of climate damage could reduce unadjusted U.S. real estate values by $1.47 trillion over the next 30 years.
EDITOR'S NOTE: Cathy and I were notified in January by our long-time insurer that because of climate risks, they would no longer cover us. We live within 1.5 miles of the coast. It took three months and a much higher premium to secure a new carrier. This problem is real, is happening in Charlestown and it's happening now. - Will Collette